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17 Sept 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.0%
Leyton Orient
28.4%
Draw
24.6%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Leyton Orient

vs
0.80

Walsall

Markets

BTTS38.5%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.7%
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).