Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.2%
Harrogate
29.5%
Draw
54.4%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52
Harrogate
vs
1.23
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS28.4%
Over 0.583.2%
Over 1.552.0%
Over 2.525.8%
Over 3.510.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
21.7%
0-0
16.8%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
10.7%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
6.9%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-0
2.4%
2-2
1.8%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).