Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Parma
29.5%
Draw
20.7%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Parma
vs
0.83
Modena
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.6%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).