Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.7%
Espanol
13.9%
Draw
7.4%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.73
Espanol
vs
0.74
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.6%
3-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
7.2%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-0
3.9%
0-0
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).