Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.0%
Marseille
16.7%
Draw
18.3%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Marseille
vs
1.34
Nice
Markets
BTTS67.8%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.575.2%
Over 3.555.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-1
5.0%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
3.7%
4-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).