Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.7%
Wigan
31.9%
Draw
43.3%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Wigan
vs
1.19
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
0-0
14.3%
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).