Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
York
17.5%
Draw
14.7%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.71
York
vs
1.24
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS66.8%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.591.0%
Over 2.575.4%
Over 3.555.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
2-0
7.1%
1-1
7.0%
3-0
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
4-1
5.4%
3-2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
4-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).