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DHT: 02

31 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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78.9%
Bury
13.2%
Draw
7.9%
Brantham Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

2.70

Bury

vs
0.74

Brantham Athletic

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.545.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.7%
3-0
10.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
7.1%
1-1
6.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-0
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
0-0
3.0%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).