Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.1%
Paris FC
18.5%
Draw
14.3%
Concarneau
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Paris FC
vs
0.79
Concarneau
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
2-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
5.1%
4-0
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).