Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.7%
Eibar
23.9%
Draw
12.5%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Eibar
vs
0.56
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS34.1%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
2-0
14.9%
0-0
11.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
8.1%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-0
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).