Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Pau FC
21.8%
Draw
30.5%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Pau FC
vs
1.33
Clermont
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
0-0
3.9%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).