Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.6%
QPR
23.9%
Draw
52.5%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
QPR
vs
1.92
Coventry
Markets
BTTS61.5%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.8%
0-1
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.1%
0-3
5.0%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).