Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.2%
Willenhall Town
12.8%
Draw
80.9%
Weston-super-Mare
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Willenhall Town
vs
2.59
Weston-super-Mare
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.2%
0-3
12.3%
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
0-4
8.0%
1-3
7.0%
1-1
6.1%
1-4
4.5%
0-5
4.1%
0-0
4.0%
1-0
2.6%
1-5
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).