⚽ FootballData
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AHT: 02CSV

11 Nov 2017

Elgin

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.9%
Cowdenbeath
32.2%
Draw
44.9%
Elgin

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Cowdenbeath

vs
1.36

Elgin

Markets

BTTS46.8%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.1%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
11.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
2-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).