Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Ternana
30.8%
Draw
31.0%
Trapani
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Ternana
vs
1.08
Trapani
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).