Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.0%
Basel
17.2%
Draw
8.8%
Inter
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68
Basel
vs
0.89
Inter
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.1%
3-0
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.9%
1-0
6.3%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
5.4%
2-2
4.0%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
5-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).