Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Spal
27.5%
Draw
20.4%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Spal
vs
0.91
Avellino
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.4%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).