Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.1%
Bristol Rvs
23.6%
Draw
59.4%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Bristol Rvs
vs
1.63
Exeter
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).