Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Blackpool
22.6%
Draw
25.7%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Blackpool
vs
1.07
Burton
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
0-0
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).