Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
AFC Wimbledon
25.1%
Draw
34.4%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
AFC Wimbledon
vs
1.16
Swindon
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).