Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.3%
Sporting Gijón
21.9%
Draw
18.8%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Sporting Gijón
vs
0.96
Eldense
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
5.7%
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).