Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Sunderland
25.3%
Draw
38.7%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Sunderland
vs
1.24
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.1%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).