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29 Oct 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.8%
Walsall
24.7%
Draw
24.5%
Rochdale

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Walsall

vs
0.97

Rochdale

Markets

BTTS48.1%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).