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13 Apr 2021 · 18:00

Dundee

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.4%
Dunfermline
29.8%
Draw
44.8%
Dundee

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Dunfermline

vs
1.49

Dundee

Markets

BTTS53.1%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-0
9.6%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.5%
2-1
6.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).