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AHT: 01CSV

09 Mar 2025 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.4%
Verona
23.6%
Draw
58.0%
Bologna

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Verona

vs
1.69

Bologna

Markets

BTTS45.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
6.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).