Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
AFC Wimbledon
30.5%
Draw
25.3%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.75
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS34.8%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.554.8%
Over 2.528.4%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
0-0
15.1%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
12.3%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).