Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.2%
Erzgebirge Aue
17.2%
Draw
71.6%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
2.61
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.548.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-3
8.0%
1-1
7.8%
0-1
6.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-4
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
2-3
3.9%
0-0
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).