Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.0%
Lech Poznań
24.8%
Draw
21.2%
Korona Kielce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Lech Poznań
vs
1.07
Korona Kielce
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
3.2%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).