Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.3%
Lillestrøm
21.1%
Draw
60.6%
Rosenborg
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Lillestrøm
vs
1.98
Rosenborg
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
10.0%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
6.6%
1-0
5.2%
0-0
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).