Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Las Palmas
28.8%
Draw
42.8%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Las Palmas
vs
1.30
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
12.5%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).