Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.4%
Tondela
30.4%
Draw
47.2%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Tondela
vs
1.29
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
13.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).