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06 Aug 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.7%
FC Edinburgh
24.8%
Draw
62.5%
Dunfermline

Expected Goals (xG)

0.62

FC Edinburgh

vs
1.69

Dunfermline

Markets

BTTS38.6%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.0%
0-2
14.1%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.0%
0-4
3.3%
2-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
1-4
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).