Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Mansfield
27.6%
Draw
28.5%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Mansfield
vs
0.88
Exeter
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
0-1
12.3%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).