Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Nurnberg
25.9%
Draw
45.6%
Elversberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Nurnberg
vs
1.70
Elversberg
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).