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23 Apr 2026 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.6%
Degerfors
29.6%
Draw
46.9%
Panathinaikos

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Degerfors

vs
1.43

Panathinaikos

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
10.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).