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AHT: 01

01 Mar 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.7%
Hartberg
28.3%
Draw
27.0%
AC London

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Hartberg

vs
1.07

AC London

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).