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06 Aug 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.3%
Blackfield & Langley
19.5%
Draw
44.2%
Cockfosters

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02

Blackfield & Langley

vs
2.23

Cockfosters

Markets

BTTS77.2%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.579.6%
Over 3.561.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-2
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
6.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-3
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
3-2
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
3-3
3.6%
0-2
3.6%
0-1
3.4%
1-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).