Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.7%
Sp Gijon
21.0%
Draw
17.3%
Villarreal B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Sp Gijon
vs
0.94
Villarreal B
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.8%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).