Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.6%
Estoril
22.3%
Draw
15.1%
Tondela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Estoril
vs
0.86
Tondela
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
1-0
11.0%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.5%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).