Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.9%
Barnsley
16.2%
Draw
14.9%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
Barnsley
vs
1.03
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.545.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
3-0
7.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.9%
4-1
4.7%
4-0
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).