Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.2%
Shrewsbury
26.0%
Draw
45.9%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Shrewsbury
vs
1.30
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
9.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).