Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Gillingham
28.3%
Draw
39.6%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Gillingham
vs
1.15
Colchester
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
11.1%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
3.0%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).