Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.2%
Värnamo
17.0%
Draw
64.8%
Sirius
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Värnamo
vs
2.99
Sirius
Markets
BTTS76.9%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.595.0%
Over 2.584.0%
Over 3.567.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-2
5.8%
2-3
5.8%
1-4
5.4%
1-1
5.3%
0-2
4.4%
0-3
4.4%
2-4
4.4%
2-1
3.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).