Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.1%
Middlesbrough
24.2%
Draw
20.6%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Middlesbrough
vs
1.05
Hull
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
9.4%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
3.2%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).