Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Pau FC
21.9%
Draw
25.1%
Nancy
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Pau FC
vs
1.11
Nancy
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.0%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
5.1%
0-0
4.9%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).