Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.6%
Sampdoria
28.9%
Draw
44.5%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Sampdoria
vs
1.44
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).