Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.7%
Blackpool
17.6%
Draw
14.7%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Blackpool
vs
0.88
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.1%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.3%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
0-0
4.0%
4-1
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).