Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.3%
St Pauli
27.2%
Draw
56.5%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
St Pauli
vs
1.55
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
6.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).