Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.7%
Celta
20.2%
Draw
9.1%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Celta
vs
0.53
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-0
10.2%
1-1
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).