Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.3%
Ternana
28.8%
Draw
52.9%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Ternana
vs
1.48
Genoa
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
11.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
6.9%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).